Impact of Mansehra-Muzaffarabad-Mirpur (M3) Expressway on Tourism in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ&K)

  • Samina Sabir Kashmir Institute of Economics, The University of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0566-1014
  • Surriya Khanum Government of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan
Keywords: connectivity, economic development, infrastructure development, tourism

Abstract

Roads serve as the major means of transportation for goods, services, and
mobility across Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ&K), which also has
significant tourism potential. The construction of the M3 expressway
under China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is currently awaiting
government approval. Literature indicates that no study has examined the
impact of the CPEC project on tourism growth so far. Therefore, it is
essential to investigate its effect on tourist arrivals in AJ&K. The current
study aimed to explore residents’ perceptions regarding the impact of
constructing the Mansehra–Muzaffarabad–Mirpur (M3) expressway on
tourist inflow in AJ&K. Moreover, it assessed whether the M3 expressway
would improve connectivity in AJ&K. This research was motivated by the
existing gap in studies and the importance of understanding public opinion
on megaprojects. Furthermore, it helped in assessing local perspectives as
to how the construction of the M3 expressway influences tourist
movement and is valuable for policymakers to forecast the effects of new
road projects on tourism development in AJ&K. The study gathered
primary data from 200 local respondents across all three divisions of
AJ&K via a structured questionnaire, and the Binary Logit regression was
estimated using the Maximum Likelihood method. The findings suggested
that the construction of the M3 expressway under CPEC enhances
connectivity and boosts tourism in AJ&K.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abid, M., & Ashfaq, A. (2015). CPEC: Challenges and opportunities for Pakistan. Journal of Pakistan Vision, 16(2), 142–169.

Ahmad, S. (2016). Tourism in Pakistan: Challenges, prospects and potential of Gilgit-Baltistan. Pakistan Perspective, 21(2), 159–173.

Akram, S., Shahzad, M. W., Khalil, A., Younis, W., Shahzad, M., & Ghazanfar, F. (2021). Investigating the impact of tourism development on socio-economic development in AJ&K, Pakistan. International Journal of Management, 12(6), 189–200. https://doi.org/10.34218/IJM.12.6.2021.0017

Ali, L., Mi, J., Shah, M., Shah, S. J., Khan, S., Ullah, R., & Bibi, K. (2018). Local residents’ attitude towards road and transport infrastructure (a case of China Pakistan economic corridor). Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, 11(1), 104–120. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCEFTS-08-2017-0024

Ali, S. A., Haider, J., Ali, M., Ali, S. I., & Ming, X. (2017). Emerging tourism between Pakistan and China: Tourism opportunities via China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. International Business Research, 10(8), 204–214.

Arooj, S. (2014). Barrier of distance and transportation to access antenatal care in Muzaffarabad Azad State of Jammu & Kashmir. HealthMED, 8(10), 910–915.

Baig, S., & Zehra, S. (2020). China-Pakistan economic corridor, governance, and tourism nexus: Evidence from Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan. Current Issues in Tourism, 23(23), 2884–2889. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2020.1763266

Denstadli, J. M., & Jacobsen, J. K. S. (2011). The long and winding roads: Perceived quality of scenic tourism routes. Tourism Management, 32(4), 780–789. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2010.06.014

Derudder, B., Liu, X., & Kunaka, C. (2018). Connectivity along overland corridors of the Belt and Road Initiative. National Academies. https://trid.trb.org/View/1563481

Fatima, N., Baig, A., & Shah, B. A. (2019). China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC): Fostering the trade, investment and economic globalization. Global Social Sciences Review, 4(2), 283–290.

Hussain, A., Fisher, D., & Espiner, S. (2017). Transport infrastructure and social inclusion: A case study of tourism in the region of Gilgit-Baltistan. Social Inclusion, 5(4), 196–208. https://doi.org/10.17645/si.v5i4.1084

Ineke, P. F., & Winda, F. N. (2018, July 17–18). Analysis of availability of tourism infrastructure: Comparative study in Joglosemar area [Paper presentation]. Proceedings of the International Conference on Economics, Business, and Economics, Semarang City, Indonesia.

Jaleel, S., Talha, N., & Shah, Z. (2019). CPEC and regional integration. Global Regional Review, 4(4), 19–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/grr.2019(IV-IV).03

Kanwal, G. (2018). Pakistan’s Gwadar Port. Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Kanwal, S., Rasheed, M. I., Pitafi, A. H., Pitafi, A., & Ren, M. (2020). Road and transport infrastructure development and community support for tourism: The role of perceived benefits, and community satisfaction. Tourism Management, 77, Article e104014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2019.104014

Khadaroo, J., & Seetanah, B. (2008). The role of transport infrastructure in international tourism development: A gravity model approach. Tourism Management, 29(5), 831–840. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2007.09.005

Khalique, M., Ramayah, T., Hina, K., & Abdullah, F. (2020). CPEC and its potential benefits to the economy of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan. In J. Syed, Y.-H. Ying (Eds.), China’s Belt and Road Initiative in a global context: The China-Pakistan economic corridor and its implications for business (pp. 117–130). Palgrave Macmillan.

Laborda, L., & Sotelsek, D. (2019). Effects of road infrastructure on employment, productivity, and growth: An empirical analysis at the country level. Journal of Infrastructure Development, 11(1–2), 81–120. https://doi.org/10.1177/0974930619879573

Mahmood, S., Ali, G., Menhas, R., & Sabir, M. (2022). Belt and road initiative as a catalyst of infrastructure development: Assessment of residents’ perception and attitude towards China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. PLOS ONE, 17(7), Article e0271243. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0271243

Mbaiwa, J. E. (2003). The socio-economic and environmental impacts of tourism development on the Okavango Delta, north-western Botswana. Journal of Arid Environments, 54(2), 447–467. https://doi.org/10.1006/jare.2002.1101

Nawaz, S., Anwar, S., & Iqbal, N. (2021). The spatial effects of road infrastructure on employment in Pakistan: Quantifying the role of complementary factors. The Pakistan Development Review, 60(3), 309–330.

Nazneen, S., Xu, H., & Din, N. U. (2019). Cross-border infrastructural development and residents' perceived tourism impacts: A case of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor. International Journal of Tourism Research, 21(3), 334–343. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.2264

Rao, A. H. (2021, November 12). Mansehra-Muzzafarabad Mangla Mirpur express way to shorten routes in all districts: PM AJK. Daily Parliament Times. https://www.dailyparliamenttimes.com/2021/11/12/mansehra-muzzafarabad-mangla-mirpur-expressway-to-shorten-routes-in-all-districts-pm-ajk/

Saad, A., Xinping, G., & Ijaz, M. (2019). China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and its influence on perceived economic and social goals: Implications for social policy makers. Sustainability, 11(18), Article e4949. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11184949

Sabir, S. (2021). Impact of Karot hydro power project on the Pakistan economy. Strategic Studies, 41(3), 66–79.

Saheed, R., Ahmad, N., & Khan, A. (2021). Evaluating the impact of Hazara Motorway on tourism growth under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor in Hazara region, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. Global Political Review, 6(2), 55–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gpr.2021(VI-II).07

Sayyid, S. A. (2019). CPEC in Azad Jammu and Kashmir: A gateway to regional connectivity and beyond. Center for Peace Development and Reforms (CPDR). https://cpdr.org.pk/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cpec-in-azad-j-kashmir.pdf

Scherer, E., & Thelen, T. (2020). On countryside roads to national identity: Japanese morning drama series (asadora) and contents tourism. Japan Forum, 32(1), 6–29. https://doi.org/10.1080/09555803.2017.1411378

Sorupia, E. (2005, September). Rethinking the role of transportation in tourism. Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 5, 1766–1777.

Stephanedes, Y. J., & Eagle, D. (1987). Highway impacts on regional employment. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 21(1), 67–79. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.5670210106

Zhou, Z., Zhou, X., & Qian, L. (2021). Online public opinion analysis on infrastructure megaprojects: Toward an analytical framework. Journal of Management in Engineering, 37(1), Article e04020105. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000874

Published
2025-06-30
How to Cite
Sabir, S., & Khanum, S. (2025). Impact of Mansehra-Muzaffarabad-Mirpur (M3) Expressway on Tourism in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ&K). Empirical Economic Review, 8(1), 19-43. https://doi.org/10.29145/10.29145/eer.81.02
Section
Articles